Alex Smart |
||
---|---|---|
Alex Smart Sports- Where winning means everything. Testing long term $74000.00 plus dime player run! |
YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
---|---|---|
Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | Apr 28, 2024 Cubs vs Red Sox |
Red Sox -123 at BetVegas |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
The Red Sox have won seven, or 63.6%, of the 11 games they've played as favorites this season.Boston has a record of 5-1 record when favored by -127 or more on the opening line by oddsmakers this season and once again look like viable favs to back. The Red Sox smashed the Cubs yesterday by a 17-0 count and now with momentum on their sides Im betting on them cashing again tonight . MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BOSTON) - after a game where they had 20 or more hits, with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games are 26-7 L/27 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CHICAGO CUBS) - revenging a loss vs opponent as a road favorite, a top-level team 62% or better) playing a team with a winning record are 11-28 L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Boston to win |
||
Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | Apr 28, 2024 Guardians vs Braves |
UNDER 9 +100 |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
Braves starter Elder (1-0, 0.00 ERA) and Guardians starter Lively (0-1, 2.38), are a viable pair of right-handers who according to my projections matchup well here vs these batting orders. CLEVELAND is 23-9 UNDER in road games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage of .340 or better with a combined average of 8.2 rpg scored.CLEVELAND is 27-14 UNDER as an underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.4 rpg scored. Atlanta ha allowed a total of 5 runs in their L/4 games as the D, and pitching staff look to be in top form. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (ATLANTA/ CLEVELAND) - in a game involving two top-level teams ( 62% or better ), playing on Sunday are 30-4 UNDER /L/27 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 6.3 rpg scored. Play under |
||
Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NBA | Apr 28, 2024 Knicks vs 76ers |
Knicks +5 -110 at linepros |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
The Knicks look like they matchup well vs the Knicks and despite of a DD loss last time out, are more than capable of giving the76ers all they can handle in this spot post season betting situation. The Knicks are also very motivated as they feel a fragrant foul from Joel Embiid against Mitchell Robinson should have resulted in an ejection in game 3. Bad blood starting to form, here and tight tough battle is my call. NEW YORK is 31-19 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36%or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.NEW YORK is 21-10 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Thibodeau is 31-17 ATS in road games revenging a same season loss vs opponent as the coach of NEW YORK. Nurse is 9-22 ATS off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival in all games he has coached since 1996. Play on the NY Knicks to cover |
SERVICE BIO |
---|
Experience & Awards I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. My picks have been documented for 22 years. I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009 in a prestigious event. I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006. I have been an NBA World Champion with 9 winning seasons the last 11 years. I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. Handicapping Approach I have a firm belief in my systems. There is not a sport I feel I can not beat. My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned. I have a large database of information and statistics. I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form. I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement. Sports Betting Is An Investment Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance. The same is true of financial analysts. The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage. You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable. I think sports betting is even better than the stock market. The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched. In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool. I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor! This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously! Money Management To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin. You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll. If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game. No more than 3% on the best bets. This might seem a little on the low side. But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books. You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality. Here are some additional guidelines I recommend. 1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources. 2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea. 3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture. 4. Buy off the hook on key numbers. 5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling. 6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base. These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits. I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself. *All selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). |